(( This entire post should be considered and replied to in-character. ))
Hello my colleagues!
First and foremost, I must thank the Director and the rest of you for allowing me this once in a lifetime opportunity to work among you, researching The Exclusion Zone around Chernobyl. Now, soon after arrival, as I was standing in the bunker getting the newcomer rundown by the director, our base was hit by an emission! I had only read about emissions before entering The Zone, so this was the first I had the chance to experience. Immediately, as if a well practiced rehearsal, everyone dropped what they were doing and seized their equipment to study the source of the emissions. While we discovered it was coming from Reactor 4 of the Chernobyl NPP, I understand that by the time all the equipment was ready and about to gather vital data--the emission was over, and the data lost.
Well, I thought to myself, "What if we could forecast emissions and accurately predict their occurrences?" So I began to study. I theorized, at first, that emissions occur at a timed interval. I waited for an emission, and began to track the time... At exactly one hour and fourteen minutes later, another emission struck. I recorded the information, and waited for yet another emission. By now I had begun to speak to a handful of local STALKERs who I was going to have aid in my research by providing data to which I could double check my own. Then, at one hour and eleven minutes later, another emission appeared! It was the Eureka moment! There is indeed a pattern! I waited for yet a third emission, and exactly one hour and ten minutes after the last emission, another one struck! This one, I even forecasted and warned local STALKERs ten minutes prior to the emission! Hopefully I saved a few lives with that warning time.
However, something strange happened. As I awaited the next emission strike, scheduled at 11:42AM, there was a series of emissions. We had three occur in a row. The first started at 11:33AM, followed by another at 11:38, and ending with a final one at the scheduled time of 11:42 which I had predicted. I call these 'rogue emissions', and I have yet to determine any pattern or cause for them, as they seem to be much less common... However, it had disrupted the pattern. The next emission which I attempted to forecast at 1:56PM never came. Instead, it arrived much later, at 2:33PM, and the next one didn't come until five in the evening. I theorize that either the burst of several emissions at once caused a backlag of emissions, causing the later ones to arrive late, or alternatively perhaps the frequency of emissions varies by time of day.
I am working tirelessly to determine a pattern. I'm suffering from jet lag from the flight to the Ukraine, so I can't be awake much longer. I ask that my colleagues take note of the time an emission occurs, IMMEDIATELY as it occurs! The very instance the skies begin to turn, look at your watch, and write down the time! Igor Witte eventually joined me on the latter half of my research, and determined that the emission lasts three minutes and forty five seconds--which is only a loose theory for now. I need it verified.
I ask that all of my colleagues assist me in figuring this pattern out--if there is one. Surely there is a mathematical equation by which we can determine these emissions occur! Record the time of all emission the INSTANT they start including the date of the emission its self. I've offered rewards to a few external STALKERs who can bring me similar data. If we can unlock this mystery, not only could it benefit our research by preparing us for an emission, IT COULD SAVE LIVES IN THE ZONE!
That's all I have to report for now. I shall post my notes about what times the emission I've recorded when I'm more awake. Good night everyone.
Sincerely,
Dr. J. Anderson Neil
// Post in teh network plox
Quote from: FrostyFrosty on 08-01-2012
Post in teh network plox
// I did. I said see the full report. >_>
Impressive Dr. Neil, You are proving to be quite the scientist. I will be happy to provide any thing you might need.
Director Richard L. Vangraff
So far, day two of my research, during the AM hours I noticed a similar time frame for the emissions. Whether or not it is restricted to the AM or not is still up to debate.
Today, the interval was one hour and fifteen minutes between emissions. Here are my times recorded for both yesterday and today.
Here are my notes so far.
EMISSION RECORDED TIMES:
17/05/2016
11:28AM - FORECASTED
12:33PM, 12:38PM - ROGUES
12:42PM - FORECASTED
2:49PM - FAILED FORECAST
// Server crashed ~3:32PM Server back up
5:39PM
(Sleep)
18/05/2016
1:55AM - Recorded by a lone STALKER
3:10AM - Recorded by a lone STALKER
(UNRECORDED TIME)
(7:00AM I wake up and continue my research.)
8:10AM
9:25AM
10:40AM - FORECASTED
// Server crashed at 10:43 immediately after emission, and somehow I got back at the listed time of 10:42.
11:00AM - POSSIBLE ROGUE?
1:10PM
2:55PM
3:40PM
4:55PM
6:10PM
7:25PM
8:40PM
Surely you are seeing a pattern, but the problem is this pattern appears to vary, and I can't find a 100% certainty to the emission timing. Sometimes we'll have long, inactive gaps. Today we had an instance of one hour and forty five minutes between emissions, followed by one a mere forty five minutes until another. However, the pattern by which I've so far accurately predicted any emission has been one hour and ten to fifteen minutes, and it's been during the morning hours. So far that number has been most successful.
It would appear that, so far, the emission timing is most stable during the AM hours. After calculating the timing of one set, you can predict the rest until a rogue appears, or apparently after high noon. This is just a wild hypothesis right now, but maybe the positioning of the sun has something to do with emissions? Maybe something inside the Chernobyl NPP is being affected by the light--or there lack of... I don't know. Again, the causes are just a wild guess. For now I'm focused on first discovering the timing.
I still have much data to collect before anything else. This is all just theory now. I will continue attempting to forecast emissions. Once again, please, post the times of emissions here for my research!
Other than that, the only things I need is funding to support lone STALKERs whom I pay to double check my research, as well as free access to the announcement system that won't draw 100 rubles out of my paycheck. // In other words, money for /adverts
Guess we can keep this here for if we ever go back to Chernobyl, but we've been on quite a few maps since then, so I'm just gonna throw a little locky-poo up here.